Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 39

Severe Weather in United States

OsageUnited StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 11 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

One other detection within 20 km in the last 24 hours, 13 km from here.

This alert expired on 4 July 2026 at 20:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 10 recorded within 20 km of this point since 27 April 2026 — 2 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 4 at 3:08PM CDT until July 4 at 3:45PM CDT by NWS Springfield MO

An estimated 62,614 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 27 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 77 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Our confidence77%
Coordinates38.3375, -91.7262
Nearest CityRolla (43 km)
Population Exposed62.6K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-04T20:08:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.97d2bfebac4b03cb58b17a9011c98637

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescMaries, MO; Phelps, MO; Pulaski, MO; Crawford, MO; Franklin, MO; Gasconade, MO; Warren, MO; Washington, MO; Callaway, MO; Cole, MO; Osage, MO
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued July 4 at 3:08PM CDT until July 4 at 3:45PM CDT by NWS Springfield MO
Expires2026-07-04T15:45:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Springfield MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount3
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.97d2bfebac4b03cb58b17a9011c98637d136991e.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8d8cfa25dbc544c61e637d6710f8bbf77c3d5b1e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.2fe117d2970dbe06bd85f81aca4efd916f4d90d6.002.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 39/100 (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.